2015 Season results for East Mountain (GV,4-4A)

34   6   1
Rank in
State, Class, District
1024     208
Strength     Momentum
799   48.7(35)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  15W   5L   0T 
District  4W   0L   0T 
Expected  17:   0+   3- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/18/15 Socorro 0.0001287L 0- 9 Expected (-7) 675 22%
08/22/15 ATC 0.001393W 6- 0 Expected (-1) 996 99%
08/25/15 at Monte del Sol ?? 0.003698L 1- 2 Worse (-4) 827 85%
08/28/15 at Silver 0.006895W 1- 0 Expected (0)1025 63%
08/29/15 at Bernalillo 0.007836W 1- 0 Expected (-1) 996 71%
08/29/15 at Taos 0.007952L 1- 2 Worse (-1) 954 56%
09/01/15 Sandia Prep 0.0071186L 1- 5 Expected (-3) 888 33%
09/05/15 at Santa Fe Prep 0.014654W 4- 0 Expected (+1)1056 89%
09/10/15 Gallup 0.031642W 6- 1 Expected (+1)1069 93%
09/15/15 Robertson 0.091717W 2- 1 Expected (-2) 904 88%
09/17/15 at Hatch 0.072782W 4- 0 Expected (+2)1120 77%
09/24/15 Ruidoso !! 0.188827W 5- 1 Expected (+2)1110 79%
09/26/15 at Robertson ? 0.291717L 0- 1 Worse (-4) 836 83%
09/29/15 Hatch ! 0.243782W 5- 0 Expected (+2)1139 83%
10/06/15 Bernalillo 0.576836W 2- 0 Expected (0)1014 78%
10/09/15 at Portales 0.602799W 3- 1 Expected (0)1028 75%
10/13/15 Bloomfield 0.536761W 5- 0 Expected (+2)1129 85%
10/19/15 Ruidoso 0.846827W 3- 0 Expected (+1)1060 79%
10/21/15 Rehoboth Christian 0.944802W 2- 0 Expected (-1) 997 81%
10/24/15 Portales 0.958799W 2- 0 Expected (-1) 996 81%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals East Mountain actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 799, while
East Mountain's "weighted playing strength" is 1027
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)

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